Legendary economist known for 1969-70 recession prediction warns downturn may hit in 2026

Legendary Merrill Lynch forecaster Gary Shilling warns of a 2026 economic collapse driven by frozen housing, plummeting ...

Recession Probability Sits At 40% To 50%—Here Is How To Size That Risk

Recessions are not predictable with precision. But they are priceable, and at 40% to 50% probability, the risk deserves portfolio-level attention. The investors best positioned for whatever happens ...
Seeking Alpha

U.S. Recession Probability Drops Below 20%

The probability that the National Bureau of Economic Research will someday determine a national recession began in the U.S. between December 2025 and December 2026 has fallen below twenty percent.
Business Insider

Recession is a 'serious threat' as oil prices collide with a weakening job market ...

Economist Mark Zandi sees an increasing possibility that the US economy is nearing a recession. He highlighted the dangers of volatile oil prices and a weak US labor market. Zandi predicts that if oil ...
Business Insider

Wall Street says the risk of recession is low, but one bearish analyst thinks this chart ...

A labor market chart suggests a recession could still be in the cards this year. Unemployment rate trends have predicted recessions, according to Société Générale's Albert Edwards. A silver lining may ...